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Friday, November 21, 2008

Significant Facts About Forex Currency Pairs

n the instance of the Euro which is the initial currency it is recognized as the base currency whereas the second currency or the dollar is regarded as the counter or quote currency. What it actually means is in case of these two forex currency pairs, if you want to purchase the currency pair, then you have to buy the Euro currency and sell US dollars at the same time.

Complete Comprehension

Hence, to have success when trading in forex currency pairs, you need to have a full and comprehensive understanding about currency pairs especially when going into a forex trade, you must know what currency you are selling or buying. For success in forex currency pairs, you should have a very complete knowledge about the major currencies such as the US Dollar, Euro, German deutshe mark and so on.

For a very long time, the US dollar has been the major currency throughout the world. It was used as a primary currency to assess other currencies that were being traded on forex and because of this all the currencies needed to be quoted in terms of the how it related to the US dollar.

Because all Forex trading deals in foreign currencies and the full extent of such trade is stupendous and ultimately amounts to well over a trillion dollars, to become a success at trading in them requires a full understanding of forex currencies pairs.

Simultaneous Transactions

As elaborated on, traders purchase and sell currencies by exchanging one type of currency to another and in the hopes of turning a profit from doing in the process. The market quotations as far as Forex is concerned, is specified as forex currency pairs which is denoted as the base currency which is then followed by the quote currency.

Amongst the most usual types of currency pairs are the GBP/USD (British pound vs. US dollar), EUR/USD (Euro vs. US dollar) USD/JPY (US dollar vs. Japanese Yen) and USD/CHF or US dollar vs. Swiss franc.

As far as forex currency pairs go, it is common to have the base currency listed first which is then followed by the quote currency or counter. Moreover, the base currency is a single energetic monetary unit, for instance 1 EUR, 1 USD or 1 GBP, and is implied and not shown necessarily.

Forex Trading System: How to Read a Forex Quote

Forex is an abbreviated name for "foreign exchange." The Forex market is a non-stop cash market where the currencies of nations are bought and sold, typically via brokers. For example, you buy Euros, paying with U.S. Dollars, or you sell Euros for Japanese Yen.

The value of your Forex investment increases or decreases because of changes in the currency exchange rate or Forex rate. These changes often result from economic and political factors, such as the price of oil or political unrest. To better understand how the exchange rate can affect the value of your Forex investment, this article shows you how to read a Forex quote.

Forex quotes are always expressed in pairs. In the following example, your "pair" of currencies are the U.S. Dollar (USD) and the Euro (EUR). The Forex quote, USD/EUR = 265.50, means that one U.S. dollar is equal to 265.50 Euros. The currency to the left of the / (USD in this case) is referred to as base currency and its value is always 1. The currency to the right of the / (EUR in this case) is referred to as the counter currency. In this example, one USD can buy 265.50 EUR, since it is the stronger of the two currencies.

Because the U.S. dollar is regarded as the central currency of the Forex market, it is always treated as the base currency in any Forex quote where it is one of the pairs. Incidentally, the U.S. Dollar is involved in nearly 90% of all Forex transactions.

In this example, your "pair" of currencies are the Japanese Yen (JPY) and the Euro (EUR). The Forex quote, JPY/EUR= 175.10, means that one Japanese Yen is equal to 175.10 Euros. The currency to the left of the / (JPY in this case) is referred to as base currency and its value is 1. The currency to the right of the / (EUR in this case) is referred to as the counter currency. In this example, one JPY can buy 175.10 EUR, since it is the stronger of the two currencies.

The goal of any Forex trading system is to profit from foreign currency movements. This requires adequate training in basic Forex principles, such as performing a Technical Analysis, using Forex charts and Stop/Loss tools, and keeping up-to-date with economic and political events. In a sense, Forex training never ends.

Forex Trading: Currency Exchange Tutorial

The currency trading tutorial you're about to receive here will give you a basic idea of how things works. However, you must keep in mind that this tutorial is only scratching the surface. The Forex market is complex, fast-paced and requires serious further study if you wish to trade successfully.

Now that we have that disclaimer out of the way, let's begin by looking at the fundamental unit involved in every trade: the 'currency pair'.

What are currency pairs?

Currency pairs are units of 2 currencies involved in a foreign exchange trade. For example, if you want to sell U.S. dollars to buy Euros, you would look at the exchange rate quoted for the EUR/USD currency pair. Or, if you wanted to sell Euros to buy U.S. dollars, you would look at the exchange rate quoted for the USD/EUR currency pair.

You might thinking: “Aren't they the same thing?” Well, they almost are, but you must look at the correct pair, in the correct order, based on the currency being purchased.

There are two reasons for doing this:

First, it is easier to calculate the results of your exchange in terms of how much of the base currency you can purchase with your 'quote' currency. Your base currency is the currency you intend to buy, and the quote currency is the currency you intend to sell in exchange for the base.

When quoting an exchange rate, your broker will list the base currency first in the pair, and the quote currency second.

This means that when you see a pair like EUR/USD, you are seeing the cost of 1 Euro in U.S. Dollars. An exchange rate quote of EUR/USD = 1.4436 means that 1 Euro costs $1.4436 in U.S. Dollars.

Likewise, the USD/EUR pair indicates the cost of 1 U.S. Dollar in terms of Euros. An exchange rate of USD/EUR = 0.6834 would mean that 1 U.S Dollar costs 0.6834 Euro.

The second reason for looking at the correct buy/sell ordered pair is that you'll want to know the difference between the 'bid price' (exchange rate) and the 'ask price' (what the market makers want for the currency).

The difference between bid price and ask price make up what is known as 'the spread'. Forex traders are subject to spreads when opening or closing trades in the buying position.

A Guide to Desiphering Forex Quotes

Learning to read forex quotes can be a challenge. They present different information than the standard common stock quotes with which most folks are familiar. Should you determine, after spending plenty of time building a forex trading strategy, that you are ready to enter the forex trading market, then you need to make sure that you know how to properly read the foreign exchange trading quotes.

The first part of the quote lets the forex trader know which currency is involved. The nation listed first is referred to as the base currency. This means the trader currently holds that currency and he is using it to buy the quote currency, sometimes called the trade currency. For example, a quote that reads USD/JPY means that the forex trader currently holds United States Dollars and wants to trade them for Japanese Yen. Forex quotes always begin this way, with the two currencies involved forming what's called the cross.

Quick fact : The Forex market is by far the largest financial market in the world, and includes trading between large banks,central banks, currency speculators,multinational corporations, governments, and other financial markets and institutions.

The second part of forex quotes that a person needs to pay attention to is the pricing portion of the quote. To continue the example from above, if the quote reads USD/JPY=117.57, then the trader knows that for every $1 (USD) he trades, he will get 117.57 Japanese Yen (JPY) in return. While that may seem really simple, there are a few more details of these quotes that a forex trader needs to take note of before making the trade.

Did you know that the average daily trade in the global forex markets currently exceeds US$ 2-2.5 trillion !

Following the initial line of the quote, which contains the two currencies that form the cross and the exchange rate, is another line of information. This is probably more familiar to common stock traders. Bid prices and ask prices, which make up an integral part of forex quotes, function in forex much the same way. The bid price is the price at which a trader can sell the currency or in other words, that is the price that people are willing to pay for it. The buy price is what a trader will have to pay if he wants to buy the currency. There is usually a difference between the bid and the buy numbers, but it is seldom substantial.

Things to Know to Deal With Foreign Currency Exchange

The main purpose of the foreign currency exchange market is to make money but it is different from other equity markets. There are various technical terminologies and strategies a trader must know to deal with currency exchange. This article will give an insight into the normal operations in the foreign currency exchange market.

In the Currency Exchange market the commodity that is traded is the foreign currency. These foreign currencies are always priced in pairs. The value of one unit of a foreign currency is always expressed in terms of another foreign currency. Thus all trades incorporate the purchase and sale of two foreign currencies at the same time. You have to buy a currency only when you expect the value of that currency to increase in the future. When it increases in value, you have to purchase the currencies you have bought to make your profit. When you buy or sell a currency then the trade is called open trade or in open position and can be closed only when you sell or buy an equivalent amount of currency.

You must also understand how the currencies are quoted in the currency exchange market. They are always quoted in pairs as USD/JPY. The first currency is the base currency and the second one is the quote currency. The quote value depends on the currency conversion rates between the two currencies under consideration. Mostly the USD will be used as based currency but sometimes euro, pound sterling is also used.

The profit of the broker depends on the bid and the ask price. The bid is the price the broker is ready to pay to buy base currency for exchanging the quote currency. The ask is the price the broker is ready to sell the base currency for exchanging the quote currency. The difference between these two prices is called the spread which determines the profit or loss of the trade.

The bid and ask prices are quoted in five figures. The spread is measured in pip which is defined as the smallest change in price based on the current conversion rates of the currencies under consideration. For USD/JPY if the bid price is 136.50 and ask price is 136.55 then spread is 5 pips and you have to recover the five pips from your profit.

Margin used in the foreign currency exchange terminology refers to the deposit that a trader makes to his account to cover any losses expected in the future. A high degree of leverage is supplied by the brokers to traders for currency exchange. The ratio is 100:1 normally. The brokerage system will calculate the funds required for the current trade and will check for the availability of margin before executing any trade.

Making Sense of Forex Quotes and Pips

Forex quotes are always listed in pairs, these quotes reflect the exchange rates of the currencies. These pairs look like this: GBP/USD = 1.9714. The currency listed first is known as the base currency (being the base of the trade), the second is called the counter, or quote currency.

All well and good, but what do these numbers mean? The value of the pair is a ratio of one unit of the base currency to it's equivalent in the quote currency. Supposing that you expect the value of the base to rise against the quote, buy the base currency and sell the quote currency, and vice versa. As an illustration, say that the value of the Euro (EUR) is expected to rise against that of the US Dollar (USD). In this case, buying Euros and selling US Dollars at the same time is what you would normally do. This is called going long.

Further, take the Forex quote CHF/USD = 0.8944 as an example. Say that the Swiss Franc (CHF) is expected to fall as compared to the US Dollar (USD). You would sell US Dollars and buy Swiss Francs - this would be going short.

Now, in an actual Forex trading situation, the exchange quotes will be listed at two slightly differing prices, for instance: EUR/USD = 1.7420/1.7425. The left quote is the Bid price, the right is the Asking price. The difference between these is call a Bid/Ask spread, or just Spread for short. The Bid price is the price you can sell your currency for, while the Ask price is the price at which you can purchase the currency.

This spread means that if you were to buy a great deal of currency, then sell it before there had been any change in the relative values of the two currencies, you would lose money on the trade, but the dealer would make money from the trade. A Forex dealer makes their money from the Ask/Bid Spread. They are in a good position, as they stand to make money whether or not you do well with your trade.

Forex quotes are typically quoted to four decimal places - for example:

USD/EUR = 0.6793
EUR/GBP = 0.7468
GBP/CHF = 2.2041
CHF/AUD = 1.0095

The exception to this rule, at least among the major currencies, is the Japanese Yen (JPY) . If the Yen is being quoted, then the Forex quotes are just to two decimal places, as in these examples:

USD/JPY = 109.32
EUR/JPY = 160.95

This is due to the value of the Japanese Yen being only about one hundredth of the value of one U.S. dollar.

A change of 1 in the last decimal place in a quote is named a Pip. this is the smallest amount by which the relative values of two currencies will change. Normally, a Forex brokers commission (the Ask/Bid Spread) will be somewhere between 2 and 5 Pips.

A movement of 20 to 50 Pips is a typical shift in the value of a quoted pair on any given day of Forex trading. The market can sometimes experience greater volatility though, with much larger movements being seen. In November 2007, there were some bigger shifts in the relative values of the US Dollar (USD) and the UK Pound (GBP), when the change in relative value of the two currencies was as much as 200 Pips on some days.

Usually, the daily changes in the Forex market are very small - so trading with very large amounts of money is the way to go if you are to make a sizable profit.

Let's say that the Euro (EUR) is expected to rise against the U.S. Dollar (USD). Based on this, you buy 100 Euros at a quote of EUR/USD = 1.4720/1.4725. A hundred Euros would cost you $147.25. If the Euro rises fifty Pips against the dollar the quote is now EUR/USD = 1.4770/1.4775.

Currency Exchange Agencies in the UK

Traditionally it was the High Street Bank that was used to transfer currency abroad. Their reputation was second to none and generation after generation used them to Transfer Money Abroad. However in our competitive world we have seen Building Societies command more of the banking market by issuing 'bank accounts'; and also Currency Brokers who originally were formed to transfer large amounts of currency in moments for the Forex Trade Market, have now engulfed the transfer of large funds by being able to beat the processing costs of High Street Banks.

Currency Brokers as do High Street Banks buy their Foreign Currency at wholesale prices. But the one redeeming factor in the brokers favour is the percentage of profit added to each deal. The banks tend to add between 3% to 4%; whereas the Currency Broker will add up to 1%.

For the unsuspecting client this can be all confusing. When the High Street Banks are offering 0% commission why aren't they the best option? There isn't a simple explanation other than saying that over the past 4 decades a commission payment for the transfer of currency has been the normal process. The High Street Banks play heavily on this factor; as I may say do some Currency Brokers.

But ... What we need to establish is what will our money get us when transferred? Forget the 0% commission or any other special offer ... it is the bottom line that counts. If we have £100,000 what will we get?

For those who read this article and have their reservations about using a currency broker allow me to give you a few examples:

Currency Exchange Case Study - In September 2007 Jason and Helen wanted to buy an Apline ski home in Austria. The property was valued at £295,000. They hadn't gone to the bank as they had both heard that the banks weren't always the best choice. A broker will be fully aware of what the banks charge at what rates they work with: Barclays on this day was working with an exchange rate of ¬1.35 / £1; the broker on the other hand could get ¬1.38 / £1. Using Barclays, Jason and Helen would have received ¬398,250; whereas the broker actually secured him ¬407,100 which has a difference of ¬8,850 (£6,400).

Currency Exchange Case Study - In August 2007 there was Ellie from Southampton, she was buying a property in Almeria, Spain. Her transfer was for a villa at £325,000; a superb 5 bedroom villa with sea views. Her bank had frightened her with the exchange rate, so she decided to look elsewhere; fortunately she came to a Currency Broker's website. She was offered an exchange rate of ¬1.39 / £1; we were able to offer ¬1.41 / £1. This meant had she continued with the bank Ellie would have realized ¬451,750 - however fortunately the broker service could manage ¬458,250; saving Jayne ¬6,500 (£4,600)

Currency Exchange Case Study - Paul and Debbie from Bootle in Cheshire had taken 9 months to purchase a villa in Pescara in the Abruzzo region of Italy for ¬650,000; January 2008. Sadly when a house purchase takes so long there can be fluctuations in the currency rate, and on this occasion it wasn't in Paul and Debbie's favour. So it became even more important to save on the currency exchange. Had they gone to a bank they would have paid ¬8,100 more than what they paid a Currency Broker. They successfully managed to save them £6,090.

I hope that showing these examples have helped in your understanding. Do not be afraid to get a quote from an Online Currency Broker; they can provide testimonials should you be concerned.

Each and every step of the process is done through a traditional bank; and account is setup for each transaction and such transaction history can be supplied should you need it.

Forex Secrets. Delusion No1. Forex Currency Rate and Economic Factors Impact on Exchange Rate

The delusion conceptually propounds that intraweek and intraday FOREX currency quotes movement is governed by either improvement or by deterioration of the state’s economic situation. But in reality, even in case the actual Forex news are superior to the estimated one, the FOREX quotes up/down movement is of 50/50 probability.

This statement is thoroughly important. Once the job of Forex trader is gambling on FOREX exchange rates differential (FOREX pairs up/down movement), the following is to be realized to obtain faultless profit:

FOREX pairs pricing mechanism (say at point X where you are completing the market analysis)

Factors imparting growth/decline to FOREX rates (up/down from point X).

Thus, having understood the FOREX ratesfactors effective at the extra-exchange (book-maker) FOREX market and the given currency motive factors, a trader must possess distinct knowledge of whether to buy or to sell the given currency pair.

So, what are these factors?

FOREX student suggest unambiguous interpretation of factors responsible for the price formation and the fluctuations there of:

Forex rate constitutes a demand-supply balance for a given goods (currency).

Any violation of this balance, (for instance, in case where the estimated news is in disagreement with the issued official one), results in the FOREX rates reciprocation in chase of a new demand-supply balance. Poor demand brings about decline in a certain currency rate, with a high demand leading to the growth of the latter. The situation continues as long as the currency buy/sell demand comes to balance at another level or at another point.

Referring to the B. Williams (“Trading Chaos 2” Chapter 1 “The market is what you are thinking of it”):

Each world market is dedicated to distribute or share limited amount of something… among those desirous to obtain it most of all. The market affects it by way of finding out and identifying the exact price? Underlying the buyer’/sellers’ power absolute equilibrium point.

The above point is readily established by stock, futures, bonds, FOREX and options markets, be it either via an open auction or by virtue of a computerized facility. Markets spot this point prior to any misbalance being detectable by You or by me or even by traders at the exchange floor.

With this scenario holding true – and it really does – we are in position to jump at certain simple yet important conclusions as regards the information being circulated through the market and enjoying doubtless acceptance”.

Thomas Demark was more laconic in “Technical analysis - an emerging science”:

“Price movement is governed by demand and supply. Should demand exceed supply, there’s a price rally and if visa versa, there’s a price decline. All economists do share these underlying principles”.

Hence, the role of fundamental analysis for FOREX market is readily apparent.

In scholar fiction one will discover roughly the following explanation, persistently wandering from book to book, from site to site and suggesting attaining successful trading at FOREX market by way of scrutinizing the country’s economic fundamental data, viz. by tracking the factors reflective of the country’s economy condition as below:

State economy condition dynamics indicators (GDP, trade & payments balance, current account, industrial production, etc. It is knowledge, that the higher the above indicators – the faster the economic and the currency price growth);

Stock indices, via average arithmetic index of the country’s securities market condition and dynamics. E.g.: 0.3% daily DJI growth in the USA means that this certain day the shares of 30 leading US companies, being pictured by DJU, went 0.3% more expensive. By similarity, DAX30 is the major German index, incorporating the price of shares of the country’s 30 leading companies.

The country’s interest rate, since the higher the rate, the greater number of investors is eager to invest into the country’s economy and hence into national currency strength.

Rate of inflation (the higher the rate, the quicker the National Bank will hike the interest rate). With this assumption, the CPI constitutes a key factor.

Money supply growth in domestic market, which fact brings about the inflation, leading to the interest rate hike.

The country’s gold and currency reserve assets.

Variation dynamics correlation of: balances of payment, trade balance, state budget, gross domestic product (GDP), etc.

Trade and industry dynamics (industrial production, industrial orders, DGO, capacity utilization, retail sales, etc.)

Construction statistics (construction spending, new home sales, housing under construction, building permits, etc.)

Labor statistics (unemployment rate, new jobs, etc.)

Society investigations (consumer confidence, consumer sentiment, purchase managers and service managers sentiment, etc.)

To be considered additionally are the country’s political stability and tranquility (clearly, any political, natural and other cataclysms are sure to turn investors nervous making them withdraw the investments from the country, thus weakening its national currency). And with the currency being the national economy derivative, changes in economic data will inevitably result in the above currency rate movement.

Conclusions:

Progress in economy results in the currency exchange rate rally.

Decrease in economic indicators leads to the national currency rate decline.

To sum it up, critical economic and political news (whose calendar is issued in advance and is familiar to any trader) constitute a standing factor giving rise to misbalance and causing the currency rate fluctuations.

In anticipation of important economic and political news FOREX pair crawl to the rates as inspired by the estimates (“rumored trade”), whereas upon actual news there occurs a pulse motion of FOREX pairs in accordance with the scheme below;

Forex rate grows if actual news are better than the estimated one;

Forex rate declines if actual news are worse than the estimated one.

The Burgeoning Foreign Currency Exchange Market

The Foreign Exchange market (Forex) is truly the largest exchange in the world. The amount of dollars traded on the Forex market on a daily basis is in the trillions. Most of this currency trading takes place between between large banks, central banks, currency speculators, multinational corporations, governments, and other financial markets and institutions. However, individual traders are starting to get in the mix, using internet discount brokers such as Etrade to participate in the currency exchange market.

There is no central exchange or meeting place for the Forex. All trading is done over computer networks between traders in different parts of the world. Also, unlike the stock market, the foreign exchange market is open 24 hours per day, because it is a global market. A trader in Hong Kong may be exchanging currency with a trader in Australia while an American trader is sleeping.

There are several different markets within the Forex exchange system. First, there is the spot market. The spot market deals with trades that are based on the current values of currencies. One person trades a certain amount of currency with another trader in exchange for an equivalent amount of a different foreign currency. Spot trades take two days for settlement.

The other two types of foreign exchange markets are the forward and futures markets. In the forward market, the buyer and seller agree on an exchange rate and a transaction date is set for a specific time in the future, at which point the trade is executed regardless of what the rates are at that time. On the futures market, futures contracts are bought and sold based upon a standard contract size and maturity date. Futures trades take place on public commodities markets.

A currency quote is listed differently from a stock quote. Stocks are quoted in terms of price per share. Currency exchange prices are listed as either a direct quote or an indirect quote. A direct quote uses the domestic currency as the base and the foreign currency as the quote. An indirect quote works the exact opposite way.

So, if you were to view a quote in an American newspaper that said USD/JPY = 75, that would be a direct quote and would mean that $1 of U.S. currency is equal to 75 Japanese yen. If that same quote appeared in that same American newspaper and was listed as JPY/USD = 0.013, that would be an example of an indirect quote.

As with stock prices, currency exchange prices have a bid and ask spread. The current bid is the amount of foreign currency that someone is willing to spend in order to buy $1 U.S. base currency. The ask is the amount of foreign currency that someone is demanding in order to be willing to sell $1 U.S. base currency.

The Forex markets are generally considered to be less volatile than then stock market because within the course of a trading day, it is highly unlikely for the value of a single currency to move all that much. With equities, it is not uncommon for a trader to buy a stock, and then a negative press release causes the stock to lose considerable value within a day or even a couple of hours. Sometimes, however, the Forex can be volatile. If there is a significant economic or political development with a certain country, the currency of that country can lose value quickly.

There is a higher degree of liquidity on the currency exchange then there is on the stock exchange because the currency exchange is open 24 hours per day and because the very nature of currency exchange is to bet on when certain currencies will go up or down; so, it is easy to sell your position in a certain currency even when the value of that money is going down. A plummeting stock is more difficult to unload, but not impossible.

The Trillion Dollar Currency Exchange Market

The Foreign Exchange market (Forex) is truly the largest exchange in the world. The amount of dollars traded on the Forex market on a daily basis is in the trillions. Most of this currency trading takes place between between large banks, central banks, currency speculators, multinational corporations, governments, and other financial markets and institutions. However, individual traders are starting to get in the mix, using internet discount brokers such as Etrade to participate in the currency exchange market.

There is no central exchange or meeting place for the Forex. All trading is done over computer networks between traders in different parts of the world. Also, unlike the stock market, the foreign exchange market is open 24 hours per day, because it is a global market. A trader in Hong Kong may be exchanging currency with a trader in Australia while an American trader is sleeping.

There are several different markets within the Forex exchange system. First, there is the spot market. The spot market deals with trades that are based on the current values of currencies. One person trades a certain amount of currency with another trader in exchange for an equivalent amount of a different foreign currency. Spot trades take two days for settlement.

The other two types of foreign exchange markets are the forward and futures markets. In the forward market, the buyer and seller agree on an exchange rate and a transaction date is set for a specific time in the future, at which point the trade is executed regardless of what the rates are at that time. On the futures market, futures contracts are bought and sold based upon a standard contract size and maturity date. Futures trades take place on public commodities markets.

A currency quote is listed differently from a stock quote. Stocks are quoted in terms of price per share. Currency exchange prices are listed as either a direct quote or an indirect quote. A direct quote uses the domestic currency as the base and the foreign currency as the quote. An indirect quote works the exact opposite way.

Ciphering the Forex Quotes

Decided to invest in the stock market and confused about the forex quotes. It really seems difficult to understand the forex quotes at first step but a foreign exchange quote is not as difficult as it appears to be. It’s mandatory to understand the forex quotes before you are going to make your first investment in the currency trading. To conquer the currency trading there are two important things to remember about the forex quotes:

• The first currency listed first is the base currency and
• The value of the base currency is always 1.

While trading forex, two-sided quotes come across, which consists of a bid and an Ask

Bid: Bid is the price at which one can sell the base currency

Ask: Ask is the price at which one can buy the base currency and at the same time selling the counter currency.

Foreign Exchange Trading Quotes Tips

• US dollar is considered as the 'base' currency for quotes. It includes USD/JPY, USD/CHF and USD/CAD in the majors.
• Combination of two currencies involved in trade is known as “cross”. USD/JPY means that the forex quote is valid for someone who wants to use United States Dollars to buy Japanese Yen.
• Quotes are generally expressed as a unit of $1 USD per the second currency quoted in pair. A quote of USD/JPY 120.01 means that one U.S. dollar is equal to 120.01 Japanese yen.
• When a currency quote goes up, it means that dollar has appreciated in value and the other currency has gone down.
• If the USD/JPY quote increases to 123.01, the dollar is stronger because it will now buy more Yen than before. British pound (GBP), the Australian dollar (AUD) and the Euro (EUR) are the three exceptions to the above mentioned rule. If a quote is GBP/USD 1.436 it means that one British pound equals 1.4366 U.S. dollars. In these three currency pairs, where the U.S. dollar is not the base rate, a rising quote means a weakening dollar, as it now takes more U.S. dollars to equal one pound, euro or Australian dollar.

Currency Quote

ADVERSE CURRENCY FLUCTUATIONS

Don't run the risk of fluctuations! Currency Brokers, can, by fixing a rate for your currency requirements today for a purchase in the future (up to 6 months).

Currency Example... The Pound against the Euro... 16 months ago was ¬1.48/ £1.00; 6 months later it was ¬1.32/ £1.00. On a £100,000 transfer the difference in those 6 months is £12,000

Currency Example... Again the Pound against the Euro... in February 2008 the exchange rate was ¬1.32/ £1.00; in July 2008 it is ¬1.26/ £1.00. On a transfer of £200,000 the difference in those 6 months have been ¬8,000 (approx £6,000)

When getting a currency quote the Currency Broker can give you a quote by using a fixed rate that is valid for 6 months. Using the Euro against the pound is, and has been a good example of two currencies on the move with fluctuations daily

Trading Currencies and Buying Property Abroad are the two major reasons for changing currency. A close third is when regular payments are made to a different country and subsequent different currency. However a casual approach which is taken by many when buying property abroad can be the single most expensive part of buying abroad.

Getting a 'Currency Quote' when buying property abroad is obviously an important process, but more importantly is getting at least two quotes, possibly three. At the end of the day it is a competitive market and we should compare quotes.

To conclude; where I started about currency fluctuations... When buying property abroad, remember this process... When you first have an offer accepted it is wise to get a currency quote and ask about getting a fixed rate quote which will be valid for 6 months. Plus get the advice of the currency broker as they deal within currencies 24/7. Many experts have suggested the Euro has hit its peak against the Pound and perhaps over the next 6 months the pound may gain some ground lost over the last year.

Thursday, August 28, 2008

Forex Robots - 6 X Facts That Cause Most to Lose Equity









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If you want to buy a forex robot, you should consider the facts enclosed because if you understand them you can avoid the losing majority of automated forex trading software and find the small minority that win...

Here are your forex robot facts - make sure you understand all of them before buying one.

Fact 1: Most Do Not Have Real Track Records

They claim to have made money but a quick look at the disclaimer shows they are simply paper simulations going backwards and you see the words in hindsight and simulated in the disclaimer. See this and pass it by, it probably won't make you any money for the next reason.

Fact 2: Most Robots are Curve Fitted

This means when the simulation is done, the rules are simply bent until they fit the data segment being tested shows a profit and this is pointless. Why?

Because the same price history will never repeat itself again exactly as before and you cant bend the rules going forward!

Fact 3: You Can't Win on 100 investment

The fact that anyone says you can is relying on you being very, very lucky, or knows nothing about forex trading.

The minimum you should consider is a $1,000 and preferably $3,000, to ride out any drawdown periods.

Fact 4: Any Trading System will have Long Losing Periods

Forget the statement you can make a regular income - you can't.

Even the best traders have losing periods that can last for many weeks or months. This doesn't mean you can't win long term you can but beware, you will face long periods of losses.

Fact 5: Most Vendors are NOT Successful forex traders

If they were, they wouldn't be selling you a forex robot for $100 and claiming it makes $100,000, they would be to busy making money to bother you.

Ever wonder why everyone in the world isn't trading?

Well the answer is - only the naïve or greedy trader buys a forex robot thinking he can get rich for $100.00 or so.

Fact 6: The Minority that Win

Have real track records and cost a few thousand dollars but they are a great investment and can make the investment in them back many times over but be aware, even the best ones have periods of losses ( normally 20 - 50%) and these can last for weeks, so you need discipline to trade them.

You can win with a forex robot but it's a fact that most sold will simply destroy your equity and do it quickly. So cut through the hype, be realistic and go for one which has at least been proven in the real world of trading and is not just made up in hindsight!

Forex Trading Software - Use The Best For Successful Trades by JON ARNOLD

You have heard about the vast sums of money that can be made with smart forex trades, but what forex trading software is best and gives you the greatest advantage? If you have been searching for some forex trading software for any amount of time, you probably already realize that there are many of them out there, and it seems like the claims of one are only superseded by the claims of the next one.

To determine which one is best, you first need to get some understanding of what the forex market is, since any software that devotes its time to teaching you what forex actually is will probably have lesser capabilities in other areas, like doing a very thorough analysis of the vast amounts of data that needs to be considered when making a trade decision.

Forex is also known as foreign exchange or foreign currency exchange. This is the task of exchanging one country's currency for another country's currency and then re-selling it again, perhaps in the same country or another country to make a profit based on the constantly changing currency exchange rates. The total forex market is probably the largest market on the planet, doing more than $3.8 trillion (USD) a day when considering it from a worldwide perspective.

It is difficult to determine which forex trading software is best so one of the first things you need to do is determine what you need the software to do for you. And in order to do that, you need to gain some understanding of the forex market so that you can determine which aspects of forex trading can be done by software, and which parts really should be left to you for the final trading decisions.

One of the problems of just going to a search engine like Google and entering search times for the software package and the word "review" is that those can be toyed with. The author of a software package might have a dozen blogs or web pages setup that provide a favorable review of his software, but they were all created by him, so the person looking for a review of that forex trading software would find a high number of favorable reviews.

Look for what kind of support the software offers. Do they have a phone number to call? Probably not, since forex trading happens 24x7 worldwide, and having a support center open 24x7 is an expensive proposition. Do they have an online forum where members can post questions and get answers from either the author or other members? Can you email questions and get answers in a reasonable amount of time? There are very few things worse than owning a piece of software and being stuck with something you don't know how to do, knowing that while you are spinning your wheels, successful forex trades are going on all around you.

Look for a money back guarantee. If the author is willing to back up his clams with this kind of guarantee, then you should feel a lot better about giving that forex trading software a try and putting it through its paces. One of the best forex trading software programs is shown at our web site.

Developing A Successful Forex Market Strategy

Forex is probably the largest market on the planet and it is always changing, worldwide, 24x7. This aspect is one of the things that makes forex so exciting. With that kind of activity, it is not always accurately predictable, but you need to understand the market so that you can jump on profitable trades and minimize your losses in losing trades, which is all based on the strategy that you utilize.

Nobody in their right mind would just jump into the forex market blindly. That would be even worse than attempting to pilot a 747 jet if you have never had flying lessons. Jumping in without a good understanding of the forex market is reckless at best, and you would save yourself a lot of time by simply lighting a match under your money. the ins and outs of forex currency trading, and the various factors that go into making an informed and intelligent trade decision.



You must understand that forex trading is a gamble, and like the advice offered to those who enter a typical Vegas hotel, never play with money you cannot afford to lose. There are no guarantees in the forex market, which means that you need to utilize all the tools at your disposal to ensure you have considered all factors that will impact a currency's value, both now and in the future. The forex strategy that you use needs to allow for the possibility that you will make losing trades. Every forex trader on the planet makes an occasional losing trade, this is part and parcel of this market, but your strategy needs to protect your assets in that way to minimize your losses and maximize your wins.


Many forex traders simply follow other forex traders. While this could be a strategy, can you see how and why it is not a good one? Other traders are not likely to share with you what they intend to do until after they have done it, and with the rapidly changing market, it is unlikely you could get in at the same forex rate that they did, which will minimize your income. The much bigger money is in doing the analysis and making your own trades, not by following others who have no incentive to tell you what they are going to do anyway.

Take the time to learn the forex market, since the financial rewards are huge, but make sure you also protect yourself by allowing for a potential loss. For more insights and additional information about a Forex Market Strategy as well as reviewing one of the best forex software systems available anywhere, please visit our web site at http://www.forexcurrencysystems.com


One component of any good forex trading strategy is to avoid putting all of your investments in one currency. Do you remember the old saying about not putting all your eggs in one basket? This is the same thing and there is a lot of wisdom there. If you spread out your investment amongst many different currencies, it is far less likely that your investment would be wiped out in a single unsuccessful transaction.

There are many moving parts involved with successful forex trading, as well as a virtual mountain of data that needs to be analyzed, interpreted, and forecast as to how that will affect a particular currency that you may want to trade. The most successful traders use a forex trading software package that can help them do the required analysis. Such software would do the lower level work of doing the intensive and gut-wrenching analysis. Based on the number of elements that should be considered that can affect a currency's value, trying to do work manually yourself is going to almost definitely be a losing proposition.

Forex Trading Advice -

If you want forex trading advice and want to win at forex trading, you can get all the advice you need to build a forex trading strategy for big profits for free and here we will show you how to find it...

Most of the so called experts online are anything but and in most cases there not even traders. They sell dubious forex robots and sure fire predictive systems with paper simulations and look for naïve or greedy traders to buy them and plenty of traders do.

In forex trading you need to learn and understand what you do, so you can trade with confidence and you can do that for free.

Before we look at good advice, let's look at avoiding the bad and here are some prime examples.

Forex trading forums

If you want to find a bunch of losers, there are plenty in forex forums.

The guys here who spout forex advice, are normally traders who can't make money, so it makes them feel better to give you their wisdom or vendors, looking for people to buy their product.

I don't know any successful traders who hang around forums, so avoid them.

Broker Advice

Lots of brokers give research and advice but if brokers were good traders they wouldn't be brokers! Most are market makers and make money when you lose, so it is a conflict of interest too.

Forex News

CNBC, CNN etc great reporting but it won't help you trade and all the experts you see tell good stories but that's all they are stories and normally news reflects the herd and keep in mind, the herd losses.

Never trade news or expert opinion from it. If it were that easy to make money a lot more people would be successful!

Good Advice and Where to Find it

Let's stress some basics First.

The best way to win at forex trading is to use forex charts and technical analysis and lock into forex trends. There is free information online that gives you everything you need to know about technical analysis and lots of free chart services as well.

These are the keywords you should really understand and study

Support and Resistance.

You need to of course know everything about this.

Breakout Methodology

If there is one method you should start with is trading breakouts so look them up.

It's a fact that if you trade breakouts, you will be in on every major move as most big trends start from new market highs or lows.

Momentum Oscillators

If you want to trade breakouts you need to confirm them and a through understanding of momentum indicators is needed, as they can confirm the move.

If you look up the above you will have the basics of a simple system you can use to trade breakouts and have a sound simple forex trading strategy.

The Key to Trading Success

You should then look up and study everything you can on money management, volatility and standard deviation and the important trait of trading discipline.

You can get it all for free you can get the knowledge and confidence you need to trade your system.

Does that sound too simple?

Well forex trading is based around a simple strategy, you understand and can have confidence in and can execute with discipline.

Forex Trading -These Ordinary People Made Millions After 2 Weeks Training How? by KELLY PRICE

In one of the most famous trading experiments of all time a group of people who had just 2 weeks training went on to make hundreds of millions of dollars. What did they do to achieve such stunning success?

This story motivated me to trade and I hope it does the same for you and concerned a bet. The bet was between Richard Dennis and his partner and the bet was based on:

Could traders be made or were they born.

Dennis thought they were made and set out to prove his point.

He got a group of ordinary people together including - an actor, a security guard, a boy just out of school and a female auditor, to name just a few and they only had one thing in common:

They knew nothing about trading but Dennis was about to change that in spectacular fashion.

Dennis set about his task and taught them to trade in a couple of weeks and the rest is history. They became legends and made hundreds of millions of dollars, Dennis had proved his point.

So why did this group do so well while it's common knowledge, that 95% of traders burn their equity quickly?

Well what you can learn from the experiment is:

Anyone can learn to trade - but success is determined as much by mindset as by method.

Let's look at this in more detail.

Dennis taught them a simple trading system (basically a long term breakout method) and combined it with strict money management.

Dennis knew that most traders fail due to lack of discipline - they simply cannot trade through drawdown periods and take losses and keep on track, until they hit a home run.

So he didn't just tell them to follow the system - but to know everything about it including, how and why it worked and how it could lead them to success.

In short he taught them the method and made them understand that they were responsible for their success.

Compare this to most traders today, who think they can get rich with no effort.

Most traders today, want to followers but this is doomed to failure, because success comes from within.

Trading requires discipline above all else and you need iron discipline to win.

This is hard for even veteran traders at times when the market continues to hand you losses and you look stupid. Don't believe the rubbish you read on the net about consistent income - you will take losses for weeks or months at a time and you need to stay on track, until you hit a home run.

It's a motivating story and this group called "the turtles" showed that anyone can achieve success, with the right mindset and education. Sure you might not make as much money as them however the opportunity is there and even if you don't you can enjoy currency trading success and make a great income for the effort you put in.

Read more of their story and I hope it gives you the confidence to trade, as it did for me 25 years ago and got me started in the world's most exciting investment!

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International Currency Trading - 95% OF Traders Lose Could You Win? by KELLY PRICE

International Currency Trading is an exciting investment but is not for everyone and you should think carefully before trading keep in mind 95% of traders lose. So consider the points below and they will give you an insight on what it takes to win...

Most traders' think they can shoot from the hip and win trade the news or trade their gut felling but they lose and so do the sheep who follow gurus, mentors or forex robots and don't know what there doing.

These traders don't get the point of what currency trading online is all about.

In international currency trading the first thing to understand is:

You need to understand what you are doing and that means educating yourself on how and why markets move, so you have the confidence and discipline, to trade your system and execute your trading signals through losing periods ( all traders have them) until you hit a home run and hit the big profits.

If you don't have the discipline to follow your system, you don't have one! Many traders could win but throw in the towel and quit to early, when if they would have stayed on course and had the courage of their conviction, they would have been rewarded.

Most traders simply cannot accept the following points:

- Success depends on you and you cant blame anyone else

- You don't get rewarded for effort you get rewarded for results only

- Trying to be clever wont help you, forex success is based on simplicity

- The market price is always right and only you can be wrong, so your ego is the enemy!

- You need to make and live by your own rules to survive

- You need to isolate Yourself from majority opinion and rely on yourself

A World of Opportunity

For the trader prepared to accept responsibility however, you can see that international currency trading, offers some fantastic advantages to build wealth.

- You don't need to work hard just work smart

- You can use a simple forex trading system and win

- Your not after perfection just a profit

- You like relying on yourself and know only you can give yourself success

- Anyone can learn to win - trading is a learned skill

- International currency trading gives you the vehicle for big gains.

It's NOT Easy but You Can Win

The main point we are trying to stress in this article on international currency trading is, while it is not easy to win, currency trading success is within reach of anyone, if they have the right mindset and can apply themselves. You can develop a forex trading strategy for success in a few weeks and then be making big consistent profits in around 30 minutes a day and that's a fact.

Understanding How A Forex Rate Works

so then you would swap back again and realize a handsome profit because now the British pound is worth more than you paid to acquire it.

To be successful with your forex trades, you will be looking at forex rates constantly during the day. One of your tasks is to thoroughly examine the various trends in the countries and predict how these factors will impact the value of the country's currency. For example, if all the factors you are watching, including the rate, seem to indicate that the British pound is beginning to increase in value compared to the Euro, you might want to consider swapping your Euros for British pounds. But it does not stop there, because as you continue to watch the rates, even on the same day, it may show that the British pound has become strong again, The forex rate is the most critical thing to be considered for a forex trader because he needs to determine how that rate will change amongst the various world currencies. If you have the desire and motivation to be involved with forex trading, learning about forex rates is critical to your success.

Many of the most successful traders in the forex market use some type of forex software package to help them with all this analysis. The software will not make the trades for you automatically without you having to indicate that you do want to do a trade, but simply based on the sheer volume of data that needs to be evaluated, there is some very good forex trade software out there. Our web site outlines one of the best forex software packages available anywhere that has an outstanding track record.

The factors that influence the forex rates are just about any social, economic, or political event that is occurring in that country at a given time. Is this a lot of data to consider? It absolutely is, but at the same time, it is imperative that as many of these variables be taken into account so you can make the best trade decisions possible.

Forex Trading System - A Requirement For The Serious Forex Trader

If you're new to the world of Forex trading, you're going to need a Forex trading system to help you in your endeavors. Number one, you're going to need to sign up with a Forex broker so that you can engage in trades, and number two, you're going to need to develop your own Forex trading system so that you know what you're doing and know your way around Forex trading. This will help you be successful as a Forex trader.

Learning your way around Forex trading is challenging but rewarding. It's going to require a learning curve, so you're going to need to learn some things about Forex trading before you start to trade with your own money. If done properly, though, you can become successful as a Forex trader.

First, understand that Forex trading is not like trading in the stock market. With Forex trading, you trade in currencies. Your particular Forex trading system is going to have to be developed on the idea that one currency in a particular currency pair (both of which you pick) is going to do better than the other. For this, you need to learn about two different types of analysis.

The first, fundamental analysis, studies the political, social and economic forces in those currencies' countries. If one country, for example, is particularly stable in its politics, government, economy or social structure, its currency is likely to do better than the currency of a country that is unstable in those same areas.

Technical analysis, on the other hand, has you studying and analyzing a particular currency's patterns and trends. This means that you'll need to learn to read charts and make predictions based upon what those charts say. As one example, if a particular currency is doing very well and has been rising steadily, it's probably going to continue to do so for at least the time being. You're still going to have to keep an eye out for any changes that occur and make adjustments based on those changes, of course.

Your Forex trading system is also going to teach you how to learn how to execute the different types of orders so that you can buy, hold or sell trades so as to maximize your success and profits. One note about learning your way around the Forex market and your own system is that you should sign up for a demo account with the particular Forex broker you choose. Demo accounts allow you to "trade" in practice mode just as though you are executing real trades, but without spending any money. In this way, you're going to learn your way around Forex trading without having to risk any money of your own until you're truly ready.

Demo or practice trades are important for another reason, and that is that they teach you how to lose money on a trade as well. This is important, because you're going to have to learn to lose money and to win money properly in order to succeed. What do I mean by that? I mean that you can't let losing a trade devastate you; every single Forex trader, including those who are very successful, will lose on a trade every now and again. In addition, if you're winning on a trade, you're going to have to know when to get out if your data says you should, even if the trade itself is still succeeding. This means that you have to have the psychological makeup and fortitude to manage your trades with detachment, and without becoming emotionally involved.

Finally, when you do begin to trade, trade small. This lets you learn how to trade with real money as your next step, but without risking a lot until you're truly experienced. Most Forex brokers will let you trade with as little as $10. In the beginning, yes, your gains are going to be small, but so will your losses.

As you start to get more familiar with Forex trading, one of the things you will undoubtedly discover is that the more familiar you are with the various conditions and factors in each country whose currency you are trading, the more accurate you can be in predicting which way their currency will move. This involves a detailed analysis of virtual truckloads of data. You may want to consider allowing technology to help you with this part of it, with one big recommendation being the software shown at our web site, which is one of the most popular and one of the most successful package available anywhere.

Forex Currency Trading

The forex currency trading is the foreign exchange or currency exchange market. The values of different currencies rise and fall in relationship to other countries monetary units. That change is what Forex traders hope to monopolize and capitalize on. There is normal daily fluctuation in exchange rates, even multiple times daily. If you’ve ever traveled outside the country, for example, even to Canada or Mexico, you notice that the currency exchange varies from morning to afternoon and daily. This fluctuation is what forex currency traders try to capture.

In the forex trade, there are two different types of currency used. Even though you may be American, the money in your account may be yen and you want to exchange it for Euros. You don’t have to stay within your own country, you just need a second form of monetary exchange. Quotes show in pairs also. EUR/USD shows two currencies. The first is the base currency with the second the counter currency. If you choose a buy for the combination, you trade USD (United States dollars) for Euros. You believe the Euro is growing faster than the dollar, or the dollar is dropping in relationship to the Euro.

Forex currency trading used to be isolated to the very rich, governments, multinational corporations and central banks. Today more and more individuals and private investors trade currency. The average daily trade of US currency is over 4 trillion dollars and growing daily.

Although forex currency trading is different in many ways from stock trading, they do have some of the same characteristics. For instance, the way brokers are paid is similar to the NASDAQ. The spread is used. The spread is a price differential on both buy and sell transactions.

Unlike exchanges on the stock exchange, both sides of the position must close before the currency is available to make another trade. There is no actual delivery like the stock exchange but conversion takes place through banks and specific exchange organizations.

You also can buy on margin, just like in the stock market. The difference is the amount that the account needs to hold. Margin purchases in the stock market require 50 per cent of the account balance. Instead, it more closely resembles the margin of the commodities, which is between 1-10 percent. The margin in a forex account is 1 per cent. This is the actual amount that you deposit to make trades. If you put $1,000 into the account, you’d have $100,000 worth of buying power in the account.

There are the normal charting tools to use for forex currency trading. The biggest difference is that you need to know about both types of currencies, as opposed to just the stock of one company. Daily events and news from the different countries change the values of the currency. This is similar what happens to stock, except, you’re not talking about just one company, where, unless some outrageous scandal happens or earnings announcements occur, there’s seldom news. Every day countries have news stories that have the potential to raise or reduce the value of the currency.

A Mint Via The Forex Forecast

There are various techniques to make a forex forecast. If you’re involved in forex trading, you already understand that it is the exchange of two different types of currency. You sell one to buy the other. Each trade is really two different trades. The successful forex trader takes advantage of the exchange rates and tries to find trends in the money market that allows them to monopolize and maximize their return.

If your account is in USD (United State dollars) and you believe the Euro is going to go up in relationship to the dollar, you want to sell the dollar and buy the Euro. The way you write the exchange is EUR/USD buy. The Euro is the base and the USD is the counter currency. If your instructions were buy, you’d buy the Euro and sell the USD. The instructions are always describing the base currency with the counter having the opposite type of exchange. If you ordered a sell then you’d sell the Euro and buy USD.

Forex forecast consists of two different methods. You can use the technical analysis or fundamental analysis. Fundamental analysis forecast with events and how they should affect the market. The technical forex forecast puts its primary focus on what already occurred within the market. It uses chart to help predict what happens next according to the price movement.

Technical analysis takes the price, the volume and sometimes also interest to create charts. It uses the movement of the past to predict the movement in the future. Much like stock charting, it takes the data to create instruments to use as tools and often follows and adjusts the charts in real time. Even though you may know that the market should drop because the country, for example, had a massive hurricane, if the movement of the currency doesn’t indicate that movement, then all the fundamental information in the world doesn’t count.

Technical analysis also looks at the trends or patterns of the currency and anticipates the past will predict the future. Many different patterns are repetitive and forex forecasting uses the charts to find that information. The trends and patterns repeat often with little deviations. This makes the tracking easier.

Technical analysis uses five basic categories that involve the price. They use indicators, the number theory, waves, gaps (between the high and low) and trends (also known as the moving average.) Many who trade stock will find these terms quite familiar. Fundamental analysis forecasts the future movement of the currency price from political, economic, social, and even seasonal factors. The fundamental analysis for a forex forecast correlates to looking at a company’s financials and news to forecast stock movement. Understanding the country’s supply and demand, seasonal cycles, weather and governmental policies, both monetary and otherwise, help predict where the price should land.

Most successful traders use a combination of both forms of forex forecast to make their decisions to buy and sell the various currencies. Knowing the countries and their historic patterns of value in relationship to events can only tell so much, watching the technical patterns helps to fill in the gaps and adjust for attitude changes or inaccurate information. For more insights and additional information about how a Forex Forecast as well as a review of one of the foremost forex software programs available anywhere for the serious forex trader, please visit our web site at http://www.forexcurrencysystems.com

Thursday, July 17, 2008

Forex Charts – Simple Tips for Bigger Fx Profits

This article is all about using technical analysis the RIGHT way - and using Forex charts to make big consistent profits.

Here we are going to look at some proven ways of analyzing forex charts and some great indicators.

You can then use them to generate trading signals, to zero in on the low risk high profit opportunities all traders want.

1. Trend Lines

You need to start and learn to draw basic trend lines to spot opportunities, it may sound old fashioned but it’s the best way to spot trends.

2. Support and Resistance

The basis of most of the top trading systems.

Support and resistance is simply defined as levels where prices move to and then reverse.

In a rising market prices rise to resistance levels and fall while the exact opposite occurs in a bear market.

When prices break above or below significant support or resistance, a good trending move could be on the way - especially if the resistance or support is valid.

So how do you know if support or resistance is valid?

Look for lots tests - and look for how many different time periods tests have occurred in - by looking back at your Forex charts and also the distance in time between them.

3. Breakouts

If prices break through important support or resistance, then the odds are that the supply and demand position is changing and a new trend will develop.
Trading with breakouts, and trading in the direction of the break is profitable but most traders can’t do it.

Why?

Because most traders like to buy low and sell high.

They wait for a pullback to buy at a better price - and it doesn’t come and the move is missed.

Most major currency trends start from new market highs - NOT market lows.

To catch the trend you need to go with the break and forget about buying low, however not every breakout will work but how do you spot the ones that do?

You need to watch price changes in terms of momentum and volatility.

Volatility Changes

Volatility is a term used to describe the magnitude, or size, of day-to-day price fluctuations - regardless of their direction.

Generally, changes in volatility give clues to changes in price. A breakout that is accompanied by high volatility, is the ideal set up.

An indicator you should look at to determine volatility is the Bollinger band.
Bollinger bands can also help you identify support, resistance and targets for the move and are an essential indicator.

Price Momentum

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over given time-periods. Momentum indicators can therefore determine the strength or weakness of a trend by looking at shifts in price momentum.

If price momentum increases on a break, then the odds are that the break will continue and a new trend will develop.

There are two good indicators for looking at changes in momentum:

The Stochastic and Relative Strength Index (RSI).

There is not enough room here to go into how they work simply see our other articles or look them up on the net, both give a highly visual picture of changes in price momentum and are easy to use.

Finally

If you can draw trend lines, spot breakouts and use volatility and momentum indicators that we have outlined above you could soon be on your way to making big consistent profits with your forex charts.

Winning Strategies With Forex Charts

As you read forex charts, remember that the two fundamental approaches for online forex trading: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.

Fundamental analysis doesn't rely on forex charts. It scrutinizes political and economic indicators to determine trades. Charts here are deployed as used as a secondary reference.

Technical analysis on the other hand, attempts to predict price swings by analysis of historical price activity. Those who use technical analysis study the relationship between price and time.

The most actively traded pair of currencies is the Euro and the US dollar, so we will use them in our example. The dollar is on the right hand side of the chart and the Euro is on the left hand side. The currencies are expressed in relationship to each other in pairing. Forex charges will always display how much of the currency on the right hand side is necessary to buy a unit of the currency on the left side. Looking at the typical EU-USD, chart you will notice the last price displayed per given date. This number is always emphasized. The time is tabbed horizontally across the bottom of a chart and the price scale is displayed vertically along the right hand edge of the chart. The time and the price are set in all caps to help the trader remember that technical analysis rests upon the relationship between time and price.

The trader observes the price and time movement on a chart. These include bars, lines, point and figure, and Japanese candle sticks-- the most favored method. With the candlestick method there is a large, red section that is the body of the candlestick. Lines protrude from the top and bottom and they are the upper and lower wicks. When you look at all the candles on a chart it is apparent that bodies come by difference sizes. Sometimes no body exists at all.

The same is true with wicks. Candle wicks come by many difference sizes; there may be no wick at all. The length of the body and the length of the wick are determined by the price range for the candle. Longer candles will have had more price movement during the time that they were open. The top of a candle wick is the highest price for that currency while the wick's bottom is the lowest price. A currency is bullish when the close of the candle is higher than the open. In simple terms this means that there were more buyers than there were sales during the opening time period. Sometimes the candles will not have wicks. The price opened and it dropped off until it closed.

Forex charts don't offer bullet proof trading hints, but they can help a trader. Past trends do have their place in forex trading as most traders will admit, and using the charts to track historical trends can assist a trader in making a snap decision.

The online investor typically joins a service that provides realtime charts that updates on currency activity. Charts can be checked on a minute to minute basis. For those who primarily do their trading based on historical accuracy this can ease the burden of prediction.

Most forex traders however use a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. They may chart historical trends, but they will also pay close attention to political, cultural and economic indicators within a region. They might use charts and other techniques to check correlation between political climate and currency fluctuations. But even the most sophisticated technical analysis software or tool has its limitations. A trader must be prepared to take risks... and invest money that is not needed for the immediate future.

Forex Charts - This Equation is Critical for Forex Trading Success

The equation in this article is the equation that makes market price move and if you don't understand its significance you are 100% guaranteed to lose and join the 95% of traders who lose their money, so here it is:

Fundamentals (Supply and demand news) + Investor Perception (the sum total of opinions = Price

IT MAY BE SIMPLE BUT:

Let's looks at how people don't stop to digest its significance when implementing their forex strategy.

We all have the facts - there for all to see but we all make subjective judgements based upon what we see (and we all see things differently) and the total mass of humans observing the facts is the price.

So what is the best way to trade?

Well first let's look at what won't work and a huge number of traders make the following mistakes and burn their equity.

- Any Method That Tries To Predict

If you try and predict you're hoping and guessing and you can't guess what a huge mass of traders is going to do in advance - you should only react to the price as it is.

Think of how many people try and predict by buying a dip to support and hoping it will hold - well if you rely on hope you lose.

- Any Method that Applies Science

Human nature is constant so markets so you can use scientific theories to accurately predict market movement - Wrong

Stand up anyone who follows Gann, Elliot wave or Fibonacci - they all claim they have scientific theories -but by definition a scientific theory should work all the time and none of the above do.

There is no scientific theory of market behaviour, because if the markets were scientific, we would all know the price in advance and there would be no market.

This is common sense! But many traders who show it in everyday life forget it when trading forex.

- Day Trading

So you can predict what millions of traders are going to do in the short space of a few hours - Really? Try it and lose, all short term volatility is random and you can't win.

- Trade Breaking News

Sure you get it in a split second but so to does everyone else and the fundamentals are instantly discounted by the price, so it is impossible to trade.

SO HOW DO YOU MAKE MONEY?

The first point to keep in mind is that forex trading is a game of odds - NOT a game of certainties but if you play the odds you can make a lot of money.

The best way for a novice trader is to ignore the fundamentals (these facts discounted instantly) and simply follow their affect by looking at the reality of price on a forex chart.

A forex chart however gives you something more - it shows you how ALL The participants view the facts, so by following and trading price trends you can profit.

What you need to look for are trends and execute trading signals in line with price momentum to keep the odds in your favour.

For example, you see prices dip to support (which you expect to hold) but you don't trade until you see prices turn away from support supported by price momentum

You then execute your trading signal based upon the reality of price.

Your not going to win every trade (remember were trading odds not certainties) but if you do it correctly you will win more trades than you lose and enjoy currency trading success.

A simple forex trading system is all you need.

Check support and resistance, execute on the reality of price momentum and use sound money management.

It may sound simple and it is - but you need to do your homework and be prepared to take losses as well as profits - but if you trade the odds you will enjoy long term currency trading success.

Forex Charts - 5 Essential Technical Indicators for Bigger Profits

If you are using forex charts then you need to know about the indicators we are about to discuss if you use forex charts and these great indicators you will enhance your profitability – so here they are.

Here are your 5 indicators for bigger profits.

1. Relative Strength Index RSI

The RSI, measures the relative strength of price currently compared to the past:

The formula usually uses a 14-period input.

As an oscillator, above 70 is considered overbought and below 30 is considered oversold.

Watching prices turn down from overbought levels and up from oversold levels, can help you spot contrary trades and you can also use it to define the strength of the overall trend when trend following.

2. Stochastic

Is a momentum oscillator that can warn of strength or weakness in the market, often well ahead of time and allow you to initiate trades.

Is based upon the fact that when a financial instrument is trending strongly it tends close, closer to the high than when it is falling, where it will tend to close near its lows.

The best use of the stochastic is as a timing tool and taking crosses with bullish or bearish divergence to indicate trend changes.

If you combine it with RSI It is the ultimate combination for timing trade entries – a fantastic but neglected trading tool.

3. Bollinger Bands

Bollinger bands give you an idea of volatility and standard deviation of price from the norm.

Bollinger Bands are based upon a simple moving average and standard deviation levels are plotted above and below a moving average.

Bollinger Bands are a technical tool used to determine whether a currency pair is high or low relative to its history.

Great for helping you pick areas of high volatility to buy and sell – they should be used to spot the opportunity then use other tools to time entry.

You can also in strong markets use the middle band as value area to get into existing trends.

4. Average Directional Movement

The ADX is a momentum indicator which tries to determine if the market is trending, or is trading sideways.

As you should always trade with the trend this is a great indicator for picking the strong trend.

Apart from determining the trend, it can be useful for taking profits – look for a rise above 40 and a turn down, to alert you to a trend change.

5. Moving Averages

Moving averages identify trends over specific periods smoothing out the day-to-day price fluctuations that are simply caused by market volatility and can be used to great effect with support and resistance to identify areas of entry to a trend.

The equation is:

The closing price is added up and divided by the period of the moving average.

Moving averages as a trend identification tool are great but you must use a period that is longer term.

40 or 200 day averages are great to use to identify areas of support and resistance then you can use momentum indicators to time your entry.

Don’t ever use them on there own or in to short a time frame use them for longer term trend identification only.

These are 5 of the best indicators you can learn and study and if you do so correctly with support and resistance levels you will catch more profits from them, spot turning points and time your entries with greater accuracy, for bigger profits.

If you use forex charts then make sure you study and use these tools.

Forex Charts - 4 Deadly Mistakes Made by Traders

Using technical analysis and forex charts is an excellent way to make money in forex trading. The problem is there are a number of myths that traders fall victim to and lose. The mistakes are easy to avoid and enclosed.

1. Trying To be to Complicated

Many traders see all the indicators that are available to them and think they have to use them, after all 10 indicators are better than 2 - Wrong.

The best forex trading systems are simple and this means they are more robust in the hard world of real trading with fewer elements to break, than a complicated trading system.

Less really is more in forex technical analysis! All the best forex trading strategies used by successful traders are relatively simple and yours should be too.

2. Predicting Prices

If you try and predict forex prices your predictions will be as accurate as your horoscope and you will lose. Predicting is another word for hoping or guessing and that won't get you far in life or forex trading.

What you need to do is to simply act on the reality of price change.

Sure you miss the exact change but you can't predict that anyway.

Your aim is to make money not strive for perfection!

3. Scientific Methods

Leads on from the above and currency prices unfortunately don't move to a scientific theory. This is of course obvious because if they did, we would all know the price in advance and there would be no market.

A forex market moves because we don't and never will know what happens next.

So forget prediction and forget science, they won't help you your trading the odds but if you trade them successfully you will make a lot of money.

4. Invalid Data

The biggest mistake novice traders make is to believe the myth of forex day trading and scalping.

Forex day traders never make money and never will - why?

Because the data is invalid and all volatility in short term time frames is random.

As volatility is random, you can't get the odds in your favour and you will lose. You need to trade longer term time frames where you can get the odds in your favour and this means long term trend following or swing trading.

The above are the 4 biggest mistakes traders make with forex charts and there easy to avoid.

If you want to learn currency trading the right way, then you need to understand forex charts can help you achieve currency trading success only if you use them in the correct manner.

Forex Charts - Exhaustion Gaps a Hugely Profitable Chart Formation

If you use forex charts trading exhaustion gaps can be hugely profitable. There one of the most reliable chart patterns to trade if you know how to take advantage of them. They don't come around often in forex trading but when they do, there a great formation and you can get some great profits.

What is a gap?

A gap in a chart is exactly as it sounds:

An empty space between one trading period and the previous trading period.

They usually form because of an important an event or in a market that is dominated by greed and fear. They tend to be highly reliable, because they reflect a highly reliable trait in human nature.
Short term price spikes never last for long and prices tend to return to areas of more realistic value.
The above reflects human nature pushing prices too far (as they always do) away from fair value and prices return after greed and fear has run its course.
Exhaustion gaps are marked by high volume, and can offer tremendous fade trade opportunities, with excellent profit potential as the tide turns and momentum shifts quickly.
Fact:
In most cases exhaustion gaps are filled soon after they are formed.
These emotional price gaps caused by panic and fear provide some excellent trading opportunities when looking for a reversal. The question now is how do you trade them?

There are several options open to you:

One of the best is to look for over bought oversold indicators and look for extremes - like the stochastic or the Relative Strength Index and hit a downturn from extremes.

You can wait for the gap to be filled (checking of course momentum supports your view) but another way is to top and bottom pick with options.

While forex options are not as popular as they once were, they can be an excellent risk control vehicle, offering you unlimited profit potential combined with limited risk.

All you have to do is trade in the money from the price you buy your option.

So hit it at the money and buy 3 months to expiry and get time on your side and you can ride out any short term volatility - you don't have to be to fussy about timing your trading signal, so long as you are confident the price spike will fade.

Exhaustion gaps are one of the best if not best chart formation to trade, as they reflect extreme emotions that normally fade within a very short period of time.

You don't get to many exhaustion gaps in forex, because it's a 24 hour market and they really only come over the weekend on the open of Far East trading after the weekend.

A Chart Formation for Big Profits

Human nature never changes and short term price spikes will continue to reoccur as greed fear, drive prices. They never last long and if you use gaps and exhaustion gaps in particular, you will have one of the most reliable chart formations to trade.

Forex Charting in Stock Market Exchange

Forex charting is popular. These charts provide investors with readings from the stock market progresses. Investors' odds in stocks improve, since the readings show them the changes in the high/low. The investors use these results to know when the best time is to bet/ask, trade/sell, etc.

You have a selection of Forex charts, which may include the Web and Java charts. With the Web charts, it supplies the investors with specs. Often they receive details from various stock markets streaming from different banks around the globe. These banks have a big institutional bank, which is located in New York. London banks, Irish banks, Hong Kong and other banks link to the headquarters in Stock or Forex marketing.

Charts will supply the investors with valuable tools. This technology arranged software programs would give accurate readings. Some of the programs will read out rate of changes, stochastic, (Random probabilities), Bollinger Bands, Common Deviations, and so on.

Some of the readings, such as Bollinger's are an indicator. This indicator enables the investors to evaluate volatility and prices on a timeline. Indicators make up bands that rotate, moving toward averages in the stock exchange to the center of Forex Charts. The bands at the crown of the charts deviate, the stands (SMA) to sum up, while the low bands will subtract these stock deviations. Clearly, investors must know how to read instabilities in the stock as well as learn how to read pricing. This will help investors at the buy/sell, trade, ask/bid, etc stages.

Change rates permit the investors to track all percentages. Sometimes the oscillator moves back and forward, fluctuating. This means that at the time the market reaches "subzero" additional changes may occur. At this time Forex, stock investors can read the results to see positive/negative results. Each result will display high/lows in the stock market and will show divergences within Forex. When the lines cross over the subzero mark, signals are sent that indicate to the investors when to bid.

You want to learn about these changes, charts and more when considering this stock market. Most starters must invest $10,000 to enter into the Forex market exchange. If you are new to this stock market, then be sure that you become well informed before opening an account.

The advantage that Forex stocks provide that stock market exchange do not is that when the markets are low you still have a chance at winning. This is because you are betting on currencies amidst countries, which these currencies may change at any given moment. Currencies pair, which may include EUR/USD, or JYP/USD, USD/JYP, and so on, which you need to has an understanding of these currencies to know when to bid/ask, trade/sell etc in Forex stock exchange.

Forex Charting in Stock Market Exchange

Forex Charting in Stock Market Exchange
Author: Martin Lukac Author Ranking Gold Featured Author | Posted: 09-04-2007 | Comments: 0 | Views: 25 | Rating: (50) Article Popularity - Green (?) Got a Question? Ask.
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Forex charting is popular. These charts provide investors with readings from the stock market progresses. Investors' odds in stocks improve, since the readings show them the changes in the high/low. The investors use these results to know when the best time is to bet/ask, trade/sell, etc.

You have a selection of Forex charts, which may include the Web and Java charts. With the Web charts, it supplies the investors with specs. Often they receive details from various stock markets streaming from different banks around the globe. These banks have a big institutional bank, which is located in New York. London banks, Irish banks, Hong Kong and other banks link to the headquarters in Stock or Forex marketing.

Charts will supply the investors with valuable tools. This technology arranged software programs would give accurate readings. Some of the programs will read out rate of changes, stochastic, (Random probabilities), Bollinger Bands, Common Deviations, and so on.

Some of the readings, such as Bollinger's are an indicator. This indicator enables the investors to evaluate volatility and prices on a timeline. Indicators make up bands that rotate, moving toward averages in the stock exchange to the center of Forex Charts. The bands at the crown of the charts deviate, the stands (SMA) to sum up, while the low bands will subtract these stock deviations. Clearly, investors must know how to read instabilities in the stock as well as learn how to read pricing. This will help investors at the buy/sell, trade, ask/bid, etc stages.

Change rates permit the investors to track all percentages. Sometimes the oscillator moves back and forward, fluctuating. This means that at the time the market reaches "subzero" additional changes may occur. At this time Forex, stock investors can read the results to see positive/negative results. Each result will display high/lows in the stock market and will show divergences within Forex. When the lines cross over the subzero mark, signals are sent that indicate to the investors when to bid.

You want to learn about these changes, charts and more when considering this stock market. Most starters must invest $10,000 to enter into the Forex market exchange. If you are new to this stock market, then be sure that you become well informed before opening an account.

The advantage that Forex stocks provide that stock market exchange do not is that when the markets are low you still have a chance at winning. This is because you are betting on currencies amidst countries, which these currencies may change at any given moment. Currencies pair, which may include EUR/USD, or JYP/USD, USD/JYP, and so on, which you need to has an understanding of these currencies to know when to bid/ask, trade/sell etc in Forex stock exchange.

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Martin Lukac, represents http://www.RateEmpire.com, an internet consumer banking and mortgage marketplace, is a destination site of personal finance, investing, taxes and mortgage rates. Rate Empire provides mortgage guides and financial rates and information. Rate Empire also operates a financial portal http://www.1ahl.com and http://www.1AmericanFinancial.com

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