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Friday, January 16, 2009

Separating the Winners and Losers

A very high percentage of those who try commodity trading
eventually lose money. The ratio of losers could be as high as
ninety-five percent. However, this does not necessarily mean that
your chance of failure is that high. If, before you begin, you identify
correctly the reasons most people lose, you can improve your odds
significantly.
There is a small percentage of full-time professionals and highly
skilled part-time traders who have learned how to trade correctly
and generate consistent profits year after year. It is not impossible
to determine what separates these people from the crowd.
Because trading well is not easy, you must approach the task very
seriously. This is not something to treat as a hobby. Perhaps, first
and foremost, this is what separates professionals from amateurs.
Professionals look at their trading as a business. There are
substantial profits to be made, and they will not just fall into your lap.

Another crucial difference between successful and unsuccessful
traders is that the successful ones have a plan and they follow it.
Considering the amount of money involved and the potential risks, it
is remarkable how few traders actually have any kind of plan for
their trading. They go from trade to trade applying various ideas
they have learned without any consistency and without any testing.
They make decisions based on hot tips, something they read,
today's news. They are acting from emotion rather than using a
proven methodology. While they may not want to admit it, they are
really gambling in the futures markets rather than trading
intelligently.
Trading by emotion in an unstructured way certainly adds fun and
entertainment to the enterprise. Taking positions on instinct is
exciting, especially when they work out . . . as they often do. But in
the end, this kind of trading will lose money.
Good trading is boring because you've thought out your strategy
and tactics in advance. You trade according to a carefully tested
system or method, not from what moves you emotionally that day.
Two psychological traits that separate winners from losers are
patience and discipline. It is not enough to have a carefully tested
trading plan. You must also be able to follow it religiously. This is
not as easy as you may think.
Every experienced trader knows how great the temptation is to stray
from the plan. There is always what seems to be a good reason.
The true professional can resist this temptation and stick to his plan.
He has the patience to wait for his method to signal a trade and not
take trades he may be emotionally attracted to that are outside his
plan. He has the discipline to follow his plan and take all the trades
that it signals even when there appear to be strong reasons to make
an exception.
This may sound easy, but when real money is on the line--your
money--nothing is more difficult. The kind of trading that really works
is emotionally demanding.
It is hard work to create a winning trading plan. It is hard
psychologically to follow the plan after you create it. This is why so
many people fail. Perhaps you have what it takes to be an
exception.

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